Why you really can’t say that priests are the happiest people, and publicans the most miserable.
Really interesting article looking at happiness and earnings. Interesting because its conclusions are seemingly statistical drivel.
The fact that the data for the study is almost impossible to find, being poorly cited in the government document this article has taken it from, and ultimately unpublished, says a lot. In the end I found this: “Cabinet Office. “Life Satisfaction by Occupation in Mid-career”, unpublished analysis (2014).” Unpublished!!
It also draws conclusions which are of no statistical significance because it takes no account of participants’ individual outlooks on life, or whether or not different professions have a more realistic outlook on their jobs. For instance, Care Workers are probably quite realistic about how happy their job makes them, whereas Marketing and Sales Directors could have a “pie in the sky” sort of blind obsessive happy attitude, despite possibly being more miserable than people who actually help others. And the Clergy, the allegeded happiest group, can’t exactly turn round and write that they hate being a representative of God (or equivalent)!
Basically, where are the error bars? The answer is simple: if they included errors then the study would be pointless, because even if you asked every single participant to put how happy they were +/- a certain number of points, the errors would be so astonomically large than no sensible conclusions could be drawn! For one thing, the difference between the happiest and most miserable is 1.911 out of 10. I’ve had days at work when I might have rated te job 2/10, but then you also get 10/10 days! The errors involved easily account for the difference — NO STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE!
Another thing: people don’t know what their lives are like compared to those of people in other jobs. So how can they rate their lives on the same scale as people in a different life reference frame? They can’t, not accurately.
Why does the government bother with these sort of useless, poorly thought-out studies?
What I hate is the way the BBC and others try to use these sort of studies as if they actually tell us anything. They really don’t.
URL to the government paper: http://li.com/docs/default-source/commission-on-wellbeing-and-policy/commission-on-wellbeing-and-policy-report—-march-2014-pdf-.pdf?sfvrsn=5
A question on States, not Nations
Am I really the only person who believes it makes mores sense to base a state on Geography, Economics and Political Outlook rather than a shared History, Culture and Language? Sure, it’s fine to accommodate those things, but they don’t necessarily create a successfully functioning state, do they?
Gives a sense of scale of the sheer size of modern cruise liners. I’ve been on HMB Endeavour and it’s not small!
The Queen Mary 2 is saluted by the HMB Endeavour, a replica of Captain James Cook’s ship, off the coast of Victoria, Australia. The encounter occurred as the Queen Mary 2 sailed from Adelaide to Melbourne, where she will make her maiden visit. While Queen Mary 2 has taken 20 nights to circumnavigate Australia (Fremantle to Fremantle) the Endeavour is taking 13 months on its journey around the country.
Picture: James Morgan
Has Putin elected himself? - Russian Presidential Elections 2012
The results aren’t fully in yet, but it’s looking like another strong victory for Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin.
He’s had the job twice already, elected as the country’s second ever President in 2000, and again in 2004. This year’s results are expected to be announced at around 6:00am GMT.
Russian law states that no person can be President for more than any two consecutive terms at a time. Unsurprisingly, in 2008 he put forward Dmitri Medvedev, a close colleague, while Putin himself remained as Prime Minister. In September 2011, Medvedev announced he would not run this year for president. Few were surprised.
Now the elections are happening in the midst of the largest protest seen in Russia since the downfall of communism. And observers, both independent and those brought in by the opposition, are reporting thousands of incidents of fraud, from people being carted from one polling station to another to cast multiple votes.
Tomorrow, thousands of protesters are expected to take to the streets of Moscow again to express their horror at this. And I wouldn’t be surprised if there was international frowning at these results, which have been described by the opposition as illegitimate.
It will also be interesting to see how countries such as the USA and those in Eastern Europe will react. Of course, they want to maintain as good relations as possible, but one wonders how America, the self-proclaimed great pillar of fair democracy can possibly accept that the results of this election are anything but lies.
I do think it’s worth looking at the next popular candidate - Gennady Zyuganov. He’s a communist. And I think this raises the question for Russia and for all those watching; do we want fair elections and communism on the rise, or Vladimir Putin and corruption? I’m not sure I can answer this one, and I do wonder who actually can.
Is Mitt Romney a Tory?
Just a quick post, and i’m afraid i’ll have to start by apologising for my ignorance when it comes to this latest US Presidential Election.
That aside, I just looked at a profile for the leading Republican Candidate, Mitt Romney. Now, it seems to me that if I had to choose a Republican for President, it would be him. The reason is simple - he’s moderate. Remember, everything is relative, but his record seems akin to an American Tory, something which is rather unusual these days.
Forgive me if I sound too sympathetic to his cause - i’m not - but during his time as Governor of Massachusetts he seems to have been widely criticised (quite unfairly in my opinion) for some less than characteristic non laissez faire policies, most notoriously introducing compulsory health insurance, a move which Obama tried to replicate over recent months, even offering subsidies to those who would not ordinarily be able to afford the exorbitant cost of insurance. Surely this is a step towards a loose welfare state, something which the Tory party on this side of the Pond supports.
And like the Tories, he’s avoiding the tribalism so often characteristic of both the Labour Party and of his own previous attempt on the White House, instead targeting the President. Again, we see the Politics of the Tory Party.
My concern is that his very popular centrist ideology will extend further than a victory in Florida. He’s not a man i’d like to see in the Oval Office, but it is certainly refreshing to see a Republican more closely suited to British politics.
For all those who Love the theme tune to Brazil!
(It’s about 7:30 minutes in)